The Basics For Investing In Stocks

14d ago
36 Views
1 Downloads
749.51 KB
16 Pages
Transcription

The Basics forInvesting inStocksAlthough they are unpredictable over the short term,stocks have delivered superior returns over the long haul.In partnership withBy the Editors ofKiplinger’s Personal Finance

contentsTABLE OF CONTENTS1DIfferent flavors of stocks3The importance of diversificationThe Investor Protection Trust3How to pick stocks(IPT) is a nonprofit organiza-4Key measures of valuetion devoted to investor edu-7Finding growthcation. More than half of all Americans are8When to sellnow invested in the securities markets, making11 Consider mutual fundsinvestor education and protection vitally im-13 Glossary of investing termsAbout the Investor Protection Trustportant. Since 1993 the Investor ProtectionTrust has worked with the States and at thenational level to provide the independent,objective investor education needed by allAmericans to make informed investmentdecisions. For additional information, visitwww.investorprotection.org.About the Investor Protection InstituteThe Investor ProtectionInstitute (IPI) is an independent nonprofit organizationthat advances investor protection by conducting and supporting unbiased research andgroundbreaking education programs. IPIcarries out its mission through investor education, protection and research programs delivered at the national and grassroots level incollaboration with state securities regulatorsand other strategic partners. IPI is dedicatedto providing innovative investor protectionprograms that will make a meaningful difference in the financial lives of Americans in allwalks of life and at all levels of sophisticationabout financial matters. For additional information, visit www.iInvest.org.MONEYSMARTLIVINGPERSONALFINANCE 2015 by The Kiplinger Washington Editors Inc. All rights reserved.2

Stocks deserve a place in long-term plansOver the long run, stocks have beaten the performanceshould not be money that you might need in three toof any other major asset class by a wide margin. Sincefive years. Stocks tend to deliver handsome returns1926, stocks have returned nearly 10% per year, onover the long run, but volatile markets may not coop-average. Note that this 89-year span includes numer-erate with your short-term cash needs.ous wars, recessions and the Great Depression. It alsoCommon stocks represent a share of ownership inincludes the severe decline in stock prices from latethe company that issues the shares (for a description2007 to early 2009, a period that overlaps what someof preferred stocks, see the box on page 5). Stockcall the Great Recession.prices move according to how a company performs,Stocks have proved their worth and deserve ahow investors perceive the company’s future and theprominent place in any long-term investment plan,movement of the overall stock market. The followingsuch as a retirement account. But because stocks areis a guide to understanding stocks and how to investvolatile—which means that by their nature, their valuein them.rises and falls—invest in them with caution. Ideally,stocks should be held to meet medium- and long-Different Flavors of Stocksterm goals. In other words, money invested in stocksGrowth stocks are shares of companies with thepotential to consistently generate above-average revenues and profit growth. These companies tend to reinvest most or all of their earnings in their businessesand pay out little or none of their profits to shareholders in the form of dividends. Growth companies expand faster than the overall economy, yet you cansometimes find these companies in mature industries.Note that even fast-growing companies are not necessarily good investments if their shares are overvalued.Cyclical stocks are shares of companies whosesales and earnings are highly sensitive to the ups anddowns of the economy. When the economy is performing well, cyclical companies tend to shine. A contracting economy typically hammers the sales and1www.investorprotection.org

Stocks that pay large dividends are less volatileprofits of these companies and hurts their stocks. Cy-capitalization of 1 billion or less (market capitaliza-clical industries include manufacturers of steel, auto-tion is a company’s stock price multiplied by the num-mobiles and chemicals, airlines and homebuilders.ber of shares outstanding).Defensive stocks describe shares of companiesForeign stocks add valuable diversification to awhose sales of goods and services tend to hold uppurely domestic stock portfolio. That’s because U.S.well even during economic downturns. Examples ofand foreign stock markets don't always move inindustries that are substantially insulated from thetandem. Foreign stocks provide exposure to overseasbusiness cycle are utilities, government contractorscurrencies, economies and business cycles. Overseasand producers of basic consumer products, such asstocks are divided into two subsets: developed mar-food, beverages and pharmaceuticals.kets (such as Western Europe, Japan and Canada)Income stocks pay out a relatively high ratio oftheir earnings in the form of dividends. The companiesthat issue them tend to be mature and have limitedhow toplace an orderopportunities for reinvesting their profits into moreattractive opportunities. Example: many utilities.You place orders to buy or sell stocks throughStocks that pay large dividends are usually lessa broker. If you work with a full-service broker,volatile because investors regularly receive cashyou may just call your account executive anddividends, regardless of market gyrations.tell him or her what you want to do. If you workValue stocks describe stocks that are cheap in re-with an online broker, you can place the orderlation to fundamental measures such as profits, sales,yourself through the brokerage’s Web site. Ifcash flow or the value of a company’s assets.you place a market order, you’re committing toSmall-company stocks have generated betterbuying or selling a stock at the best currentreturns over time than stocks of large companies.price. With a limit order, you specify the priceYoung, small companies tend to grow faster than theirat which you are willing to buy or sell a stock.larger brethren. But there’s a trade-off: Small-com-When and if the market price reaches thepany stocks are much more volatile than shares of biglimit-order price, the order is executed. Stockcompanies. There are a number of ways of defininginvestors pay commissions to brokers on bothwhat constitutes a small company. By one commonstock purchases and sales.definition, a small company is one with a stock-market2the basics for investing in stocks

small-company and emerging-markets stocks. Theappropriate blend of stocks depends on personal circumstances, including your time horizon (when you’llneed to spend the money) and your tolerance for riskand volatility (your ability to sleep at night when stockprices fall).How to Pick StocksBroadly speaking, there are two basic approaches tostock picking: one based on an assessment of ecoand faster-growing emerging markets (China, Indianomic and market factors (known as a top-downand Brazil, to name a few).approach) and one based exclusively on analysis ofindividual stocks (a bottom-up approach). Investors—The Importance of Diversificationincluding professionals such as mutual fund manag-Diversification means spreading your money amongers—sometimes combine both approaches in select-many investments to lessen risk. The idea is to avoid aing stocks.situation in which your investments are concentratedin so few holdings that big declines in the value of justTop-down approach. The investor begins with anone or two of them wreck your portfolio. If you buy in-analysis of the economy, markets and industries.dividual stocks, you probably need a minimum of 20Trends in the economy, such as employment and in-to 30 companies from a variety of industries to pro-terest rates, substantially influence company earnings.vide sufficient diversification. (If you choose to investBecause many companies operate all over the world,in a diversified stock mutual fund, the fund will achievethe analysis must often be global in scope.this diversification for you; more on stock funds later.)Stocks tend to perform differently at variousFor instance, you might strive for a mix of stockspoints in an economic cycle. For instance, financialthat tend to fare well in different economic environ-companies and homebuilders often do well early inments, such as strong, stagnant and inflationaryan economic recovery, or even in anticipation of aeconomies. Perhaps you want to blend growth andrecovery. Commodities-related companies, suchincome stocks in the portfolio and add a dash ofas chemical and aluminum manufacturers, often3www.investorprotection.org

There are numerous ways to pick stocksperform well in the late stages of an economicA company that earns 400 million in a year and hascycle, when inflation tends to heat up and they100 million shares outstanding has earnings of 4 percan command higher prices for their products.share. If its stock sells for 40, the P/E ratio is 40divided by 4, or 10.Bottom-up analysis. There are numerous ways toThe P/E ratio tells you how much investors are will-pick individual stocks, some of them quite complex. Ining to pay for each dollar a company earns. You cangeneral, though, investors prefer companies that de-use that number in a variety of ways to spot value. Forliver solid earnings growth or those whose share pricesexample, you might look for P/E ratios that are low onare cheap relative to the perceived value of the com-an absolute basis—in the single digits, for example. Orpany. Finding the best of both worlds—a rapidly grow-you might look for stocks with P/E ratios lowering company whose share price is cheap—is an eventhan the P/E ratio of the overall market. Or you mightbetter formula for successful stock picking. Of course,that is much easier said than done.It’s crucial to understand how stocks are valued. Byitself, a stock’s price tells you nothing about its value.Lall abouttechnical analysisA stock that trades for a nickel a share can be expen-This is actually a third school of stock picking.sive, while a stock that trades for 500 per share canTechnical analysts make decisions based onbe cheap. As mentioned earlier, what matters is howobservations of historical market and stockmuch the share price compares with a fundamentaltrends and current data. They study patternsmeasure, such as a company’s profits or sales.of price movements and trading volume of themarket and individual stocks, looking at suchKey Measures of Valuethings as moving averages and relativePrice-earnings ratio. The P/E ratio is perhaps thestrength. Practitioners of technical analysisbest-known and most widely used yardstick to assesspay little or no attention to fundamentals—the value of a stock. The numerator, P, is the currentthey may not even care what business a com-market price of a stock. The denominator, E, is thepany is in. Many academics scoff at technicalcompany’s earnings per share, which is calculated byanalysis, but the technique has many passion-dividing after-tax profits by the average number ofate advocates.outstanding shares of common stock. For example:4the basics for investing in stocks

lall aboutpreferred stockssearch for stocks of companies whose P/E ratios arelower than the average P/E of the industry in whichthey operate. Warning: Because an entire stock marketor industry can be overvalued (think Internet stocks inPreferred stocks have elements of boththe late 1990s) purchasing a stock purely because it’sstocks and bonds. As with common stock,relatively cheap can be dangerous.companies issue preferred shares. PreferredTo make matters trickier, stock investors generallystock ranks higher than common stock in thebase their decisions on expectations of a company’scompany’s capital structure, which meansfuture earnings. So they are usually willing to pay up—that preferred shareholders are paid dividendsfirst and have a better chance than commonshareholders of being paid off if the companygoes into bankruptcy. Bond investors, however, have a higher claim on a company’sassets than holders of preferred stock.Stock investors generallybase their decisions on acompany’s future earnings and are willing to pay if theythink the company will grow.Preferred shares resemble bonds in thatdividend payments are typically high but fixed.As such, preferred shareholders cannot bene-that is, accept a high P/E ratio—if they think a com-fit in the growth of the company, but neitherpany will grow rapidly in the future. Because of thisare they hurt if the company stumbles a bit.focus on the future, many investors calculate P/EIn fact, preferred-share prices tend to behaveratios on the basis of estimated future profits—like bond prices, rising as interest rates falltypically what a company is expected to earn overand sinking as interest rates rise. But unlikethe coming 12 months. You can find earnings esti-bonds, most preferred stocks do not havemates on many Internet portals, including Yahoo!maturity dates, and the issuers of the sharesFinance (http://finance.yahoo.com) and MSNMoney(unlike borrowers paying interest to bond-(http://money.msn.com).holders) are under no legal obligation to paydividends to investors.Price-to-book-value ratio. This method of valuinga stock is useful in certain cases and not so useful5www.investorprotection.org

Dividend yield is akin to interest on savingsin many others. Book value, also known as share-ing methods. There are several ways of measuringholder equity, is essentially a company’s assets minuscash flow. One simple definition is that cash flowliabilities. Divide that number by the average numberequals earnings from operations, plus depreciationof shares outstanding to arrive at book value perand other noncash charges against earnings.share, then divide the share price by book value pershare to arrive at a stock’s price-to-book-value ratioDividend yield. Akin to interest on a savings account,(P/B). Compare a stock’s P/B to that of similarthis number is the amount of the dividend a companycompanies to get a sense of relative value.pays to shareholders expressed as a percentage ofOne instance in which price to book value is oftenthe stock’s price. So, for example, if a company paysused to evaluate a stock is when the P/E ratio doesn'tout 2 a year (dividends are usually paid quarterly; inmake sense. This may be the case if a company hasthis case, the dividend would be 50 cents per quarterno earnings (you can’t divide P by zero), negative earn-for every share you own) and the stock sells for 50ings (that is, the company loses money), or its earn-a share, the yield is 4% ( 2 divided by 50). Stocksings are temporarily distorted in either direction. This iswith high dividend yields are sometimes seen asoften the case with cyclical companies, whose earnings tend to be highly volatile.Price-to-sales ratio. Price-to-sales ratio may be evenmore useful than price-to-book-value ratio in valuinga company whose earnings are negative or erratic.That’s because sales are more stable than earningsand because it’s more difficult for a company to useaccounting techniques to manipulate revenues than itis to use them to manipulate earnings figures.Price-to-cash-flow ratio. Use of this ratio to valuecompanies is growing in popularity. Cash flows aremore stable than earnings and, as with sales, aremuch less prone to distortions from different account-6the basics for investing in stocks

better values than stocks that pay relatively small dividends or none at all.xbewarepenny stocksFinancial strength. Although not technically a mea-sure of value, you should have a sense of how muchdebt a company is carrying. Debt isn’t necessarily bad.Used judiciously, it can help a company boost profits.Take extra care with stocks that sell for extraordinarily low prices. Just because a price islow doesn’t mean the stock is cheap accordingto traditional ways of determining value.“Penny stocks,” defined by the Securities andAlthough not technically ameasure of value, you shouldhave a sense of how muchdebt a company is carrying.Debt isn’t necessarily bad.Exchange Commission as stocks that sell forless than 5 per share, often deserve to below-priced. The company might be in deeptrouble. Plus, penny stocks are subject tomanipulation, particularly schemes to inflatetheir share price temporarily. It’s crucial to doBut too much debt can be dangerous, particularlywhen the economy weakens. If sales and profitsslump, a highly indebted company may have troublemeeting its obligations to lenders. Two common mea-your homework before investing in a pennystock. Many penny-stock companies don’t fileregular financial reports. If a company you’reinterested in doesn’t, stay away.sures of a company’s financial leverage are the ratio ofdebt to equity and the ratio of debt to capital (equityto value a stock. Of course, the other side of the in-representing what stockholders have put into thevesting question is discovering growing companies.company and capital representing equity plus out-There are many ways to find great growth stocks.standing debt). To get a sense of how leveraged aPerhaps the simplest is through your own observa-company is, it’s best to compare these debt ratios totions. You may dine at a restaurant chain with anthose of other companies in the same industry.interesting new concept that seems to be openinga new facility every week. Your teenage kids may tipFinding Growthyou off to a new store that all their friends are patroniz-Most of the discussion until now has focused on howing. Or it could be a technology company that turns7www.investorprotection.org

Refusal to sell is the undoing of many investorseDividendreinvestment plansout one blockbuster product after another. As a rule,you should invest only in companies that you canunderstand.You can find past growth rates and estimatedA dividend reinvestment plan is a low-costfuture growth rates for earnings and sales in brokerageway of reinvesting the dividends you receivereports and on the Internet. If you can find a companyfrom a company whose shares you own.that can generate earnings growth of 15% a year, itsWhen you purchase shares of a companyprofits will double in five years. If you haven’t overpaidwith a so-called DRIP, you can direct thefor the stock, chances are good that your investmentcompany (when it holds your shares) towill double over that time frame, too.reinvest your quarterly dividends for littleor no charge. DRIPs are particularly helpfulWhen to Sellto small investors because the plans allowThe decision of when to unload a stock is as impor-investors to buy fractional shares. DRIPstant as deciding which stocks to buy in the first place.also allow you to make additional invest-But the decision to sell is often harder than the deci-ments in a company’s stock, either on asion to buy. That’s because once you own a stock,regular or occasional basis. Not all com-emotional factors come into play. If you own a stockpanies have DRIP plans; to find out whetherthat falls in value, you may want to hold on to it—a company offers one, go to its Web site orwhether you should or not—because by selling andcontact the company’s investor-relationslocking in the loss you confirm that you made a baddepartment.decision. If you own a stock that performs exceed-In general, you have to own at least oneingly well, you may want to hold on because it hasshare of a company’s stock before you cantreated you so well, even if the stock has becomesign up for its DRIP. However, several hun-overvalued.dred companies let you buy your first shareThe refusal to sell—whether due to unrealistic ex-directly from the company at little or nopectations, stubbornness, lack of interest or merecharge. Once you’ve signed up, you can buyinattention—is the undoing of many investors. As aadditional shares through the plan.long-term investor, you don’t want to cash in everytime your stock moves up a few dollars. Commissions8the basics for investing in stocks

If a company’s basic, fundamental measures start toweaken, it’s time to reconsider your investment. An example might be a fast-expanding retail chain whosesales per store suddenly decline after rising for years.Or here’s a more obvious case: Suppose you bought astock because you had high expectations for a newproduct. If the product turns out to be a dud, sell.n The dividend is cut. The progression and security ofthe dividend are important to any stock’s prospects. Adividend cut or signs that the dividend is “in trouble”—and perhaps taxes would cut into your gain, and you’dmeaning that analysts or money managers are quotedhave to decide where to put the proceeds. By theas saying that they don’t think the company can main-same token, you don’t want to bail out in a panic in thetain its payout to shareholders—can undermine theaftermath of a steep market decline.stock price. Beware, incidentally, of stocks that sportHere are some clues that will tell you when it is timeunusually high yields relative to their history or to theirto consider selling a stock, no matter if you have madeindustries. The yield may be high because the sharea profit on it or not.price has dropped a lot. This often indicates that investors believe a company will cut its dividend.n The fundamentals change. Whether you ownshares in a large Fortune 500 company or a companyn You reach your target price. Many investors set spe-most people have never heard of, you need to followcific price targets, both up and down, when they buy athe corporation’s prospects, its earnings progression,stock; when the stock reaches the target, they sell. Aand its business success as reflected in such things asgood target might be to look for a 50% gain withinits products and services, market share and profit mar-two years or to limit your patience with a stock to agins. Annual reports, news stories, research reportsloss of 20%. Such guidelines can prompt you to takefrom brokerage houses and independent analysts,your gains in a timely fashion and to dump losers be-and investment newsletters are fertile sources of suchfore the damage gets too painful. Take the simple stepinformation, along with the references listed on page 10.of setting a “mental protective stop.” Keep track of the9www.investorprotection.org

fact finding:sources and what you’ll find insideHeadline goes here tk and here tkThe Web has made it easier than ever to conductAnalysts’ reports. Brokerage firms’ research de-your own research on stocks. Below is a basicpartments publish reports on companies that theyguide to locating the key facts on companies.follow. These reports contain financial numbers,analysis and analysts’ stock recommendations,Company Web sites. Spend some time on the in-such as buy, hold or sell. You can obtain reportsvestor-relations section of the company's Websuch as these from your broker. Some online bro-site. You will find a wealth ofkers offer research produced byinformation, such as stock-full-service brokerages, as wellprice and dividend history, in-as independent research fromvestor presentations, and im-the likes of Standard & Poor’sportant financial documents,and Argus Research.such as the annual report. TheMorningstar. This independentannual report contains auditedoutfit made its name in mutualfinancial statements from thefund research, but it also con-most recent year, along withducts fine research on stocks.data from previous years. YouYou can obtain basic stockcan download the report from the Web site, ob-and stock-fund information free of charge attain a hard copy from the company’s investor-re-www.morningstar.com. For greater detail andlations department, or request a copy throughanalysis of stocks and funds, Morningstar offersyour broker.a premium membership service for 199 a year.Form 10-K. This document, which must be filedValue Line Investment Survey. Value Line offersannually with the Securities and Exchange Com-a vast collection of data, including prices, earningsmission, includes audited financial statementsand dividends, stretching back years, along with itsand voluminous information on the company.analysis. Among the unique features is a “timeli-You can obtain 10-K filings through companyness” rating for each of about 1,700 stocks as wellWeb sites or through the SEC's EDGAR databaseas analyst commentaries. Available at libraries or(http://www.sec.gov/edgar/searchedgar/from Value Line ( 598 a year; ).10the basics for investing in stocks

You can set your sell level anywherestock's price and sell any stock that hits your mentalual stocks yourself, you are effectively hiring an invest-stop point. You can set your sell level anywhere, be itment professional to analyze companies and stocks.above the current share price or below the currentThe manager will decide when is an opportune time toshare price. Once you’ve reached your objective, takepurchase and sell stocks.the money. If the goals you set are very conservative,Funds are convenient. While you may need to pur-you might miss some gains from time to time, butchase 20 to 30 stocks for adequate diversification, athat’s better than holding on too long and falling vic-diversified mutual fund provides a one-stop approachto spreading risk. For example, researching small-If the goals you set are veryconservative, you mightmiss some gains from timeto time, but that’s better thanholding on too long.company or foreign stocks can be especially daunting.But you can fill gaps such as these in your portfolio bybuying small-company or foreign funds. In fact, youcan find funds that address almost any investmentstrategy, broadly or narrowly defined.Stock mutual funds, which you buy through anintermediary (such as a broker) or directly from atim to the Wall Street maxim that says: “Bulls makefund sponsor, come in several varieties. Index fundsmoney. Bears make money. Pigs get slaughtered.”are passively managed funds that seek to mimica benchmark, such as Standard & Poor’s 500-stockn What’s your return? With any investment, you shouldindex.judge performance by total return—essentially, theActively managed funds are funds run by a man-change in price plus any dividends you receive whileager who selects stocks according to his own assess-holding the stock. For example, if you buy a stock forment of their attractiveness. Exchange-traded funds, 40, sell it a year later for 50 and receive a 2 dividendor ETFs, typically are a version of index funds. ETFspayout during the year, your total return is roughly 30%trade like stocks on a stock exchange, and you buy and(a 25% capital gain plus a dividend yield of 5%).sell them through a broker as you would an individualstock. In all cases, it pays to be sensitive to fund fees,Consider Mutual FundsThere are a number of benefits to investing in stocksthrough mutual funds. Instead of researching individ-which subtract from your returns.Mutual funds are particularly amenable to atechnique known as dollar-cost averaging. With this11www.investorprotection.org

Consider delegating stock picking to fundsstate securitiesregulatorsstrategy, you invest a fixed amount of money on a regular basis. For example, if you have 10,000 you wantto invest in a stock fund, instead of plunking it down allat once, you might choose to invest 2,500 now andState Securities Regulators have protected investors from fraud for more than 100 years. Securitiesmarkets are global, but securities are sold locallyby professionals who are licensed in every statewhere they conduct business. State SecuritiesRegulators work within your state government to 2,500 three, six and nine months from the time of thefirst purchase. Of course, anyone who invests everypayday through a 401(k) or similar plan is effectivelydollar-cost averaging.Dollar-cost averaging offers important psychologi-protect investors and help maintain the integrity ofcal benefits. It prevents you from investing all of yourthe securities industry.money near what could be a stock-market top, seeingthe value of your investment drop, then having to sellYour State Securities Regulator can:n Verify that a broker-dealer or investmentadviser is properly licensed;n Provide information about prior run-ins withregulators that led to disciplinary or enforcementactions; serious complaints that may have beenat a loss with a vow that you’ll never invest in stocksagain. And if you adhere to the program religiously, itforces you to keep buying stock funds as prices godown—something many people would not do if left totheir own devices.lodged against them; their educational background and previous work history;Wrap up. Stocks merit a substantial place in yourn Provide a Web site, telephone number orportfolio. Because stocks are volatile assets, theyaddress where you can file a complaint; andbelong only in portfolios invested for medium- orn Provide noncommercial investor education andlong-term goals. Be sure you have a diversifiedprotection materials.blend of stocks that includes a helping of foreignFor contact information for your State SecuritiesRegulator, visit the North American SecuritiesAdministrators Association (NASAA) Web siteat www.nasaa.org and click on “Contact YourRegulator.”shares. Do your homework to ensure that you aren’toverpaying for the stocks. If you don’t have thetime, ability or inclination to buy and sell individualstocks yourself, consider delegating this importantresponsibility to some well-chosen stock mutualfunds. n12the basics for investing in stocks

glossaryBear market. A period when a market declines.Book value. Also known as shareholder equity, this is the difference between a company’s assets and its liabilities.Bull market. A period when a market increases.Bond. An interest-bearing security that obligates the issuer topay a specified amount of interest for a specifi